Authors:

I GUSTI NGURAH ARYA WANAYASA, I PUTU EKA NILA KENCANA, DESAK PUTU EKA NILAKUSMAWATI

Abstract:

“The purpose of this research is forecasting the growth of the GDRP in Bali Province on 2011. The fuzzy time series method and Holt-Winter’s exponential smoothing method used to forecast the GDRP in Bali Province on 2011 by using the data of Bali Province’s GDRP constant prices of year 2000 from first quarter of 1991 until fourth quarter of 2010. Then, the forecasting result of both methods compared by see the AFER and MSE value on each method. The comparison result shows the forecasting method by using Holt-Winter’s exponential smoothing is 7.13% while using the fuzzy time series method is 0.64%, these shows the forecasting using fuzzy time series method have a higher accuracy rate compared to Holt-Winter’s exponential smoothing method with the difference of forecasting error rateis6.49%.”

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PDF:

https://jurnal.harianregional.com/mtk/full-1776

Published

2012-09-16

How To Cite

ARYA WANAYASA, I GUSTI NGURAH; NILA KENCANA, I PUTU EKA; NILAKUSMAWATI, DESAK PUTU EKA. PERAMALAN PRODUK DOMESTIK REGIONAL BRUTO (PDRB) PROVINSI BALI DENGAN MENGGUNAKAN METODE FUZZY TIME SERIES.E-Jurnal Matematika, [S.l.], sep. 2012. ISSN 2303-1751. Available at: https://jurnal.harianregional.com/mtk/id-1776. Date accessed: 28 Aug. 2025. doi:https://doi.org/10.24843/MTK.2012.v01.i01.p003.

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ABNT, APA, BibTeX, CBE, EndNote - EndNote format (Macintosh & Windows), MLA, ProCite - RIS format (Macintosh & Windows), RefWorks, Reference Manager - RIS format (Windows only), Turabian

Issue

Volume 1, No 1, Tahun 2012

Section

Articles

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