Authors:

TJOK GDE SAHITYAHUTTI RANANGGA, I WAYAN SUMARJAYA, I GUSTI AYU MADE SRINADI

Abstract:

“The purposes of this research were to model and to forecast the number of foreign tourists (Australia, China, and Japan) arrival to Bali using vector autoregressive (VAR) method. The estimated of VAR model obtained to forecast the number of foreign tourists to Bali is the sixth order VAR (VAR(6)).We used multivariate least square method to estimate the VAR(6)’s parameters.The mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) in this model were as follows 6.8% in predicting the number of Australian tourists, 15.9% in predicting the number of Chinese tourists, and 9% in predicting the number of Japanese tourists. The prediction of Australian, Chinese, and Japanese tourists arrival to Bali for July 2017 to December 2017 tended to experience up and downs that were not too high compared to the previous months.”

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PDF:

https://jurnal.harianregional.com/mtk/full-39563

Published

2018-05-13

How To Cite

RANANGGA, TJOK GDE SAHITYAHUTTI; SUMARJAYA, I WAYAN; SRINADI, I GUSTI AYU MADE. METODE VECTOR AUTOREGRESSIVE (VAR) DALAM PERAMALAN JUMLAH WISATAWAN MANCANEGARA KE BALI.E-Jurnal Matematika, [S.l.], v. 7, n. 2, p. 157-164, may 2018. ISSN 2303-1751. Available at: https://jurnal.harianregional.com/mtk/id-39563. Date accessed: 02 Jun. 2025. doi:https://doi.org/10.24843/MTK.2018.v07.i02.p198.

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ABNT, APA, BibTeX, CBE, EndNote - EndNote format (Macintosh & Windows), MLA, ProCite - RIS format (Macintosh & Windows), RefWorks, Reference Manager - RIS format (Windows only), Turabian

Issue

Vol 7 No 2 (2018)

Section

Articles

Creative Commons License This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License