Authors:

Jose Rizal, Sigit Nugroho, Adi Irwanto, , Debora

Abstract:

“The purpose of this study to get an overview of the earthquakes in Sumatra. The method used is descriptive statistics and models Autoregressive Fractionally Integrated Moving Average (ARFIMA). The result from analysis data yielded a mathematical model to predict the amount of tectonic earthquakes that occur every month in Sumatra is ARFIMA (4,0.350,3) with a value of RMSE is 0,040??. While the best model for the average magnitude of the many tectonic earthquakes that occur every month in Sumatra is ARFIMA (1,0.310,3) with a value of RMSE is 0.013. Based on the model results obtained forecast frequency earthquake and the average magnitude for the three periods ahead, namely the first period 21 times with an average magnitude is 4,91 SR , the second period will occur 14 times with an average magnitude is 4.94 SR and the third period will occur 20 times with an average magnitude is 4,96 SR.”

Keywords

Keyword Not Available

Downloads:

Download data is not yet available.

References

References Not Available

PDF:

https://jurnal.harianregional.com/jmat/full-25348

Published

2016-06-30

How To Cite

RIZAL, Jose et al. Analisis Kejadian Gempa Bumi Tektonik di Wilayah Pulau Sumatera.Jurnal Matematika, [S.l.], v. 6, n. 1, p. 1-14, june 2016. ISSN 2655-0016. Available at: https://jurnal.harianregional.com/jmat/id-25348. Date accessed: 28 Aug. 2025. doi:https://doi.org/10.24843/JMAT.2016.v06.i01.p63.

Citation Format

ABNT, APA, BibTeX, CBE, EndNote - EndNote format (Macintosh & Windows), MLA, ProCite - RIS format (Macintosh & Windows), RefWorks, Reference Manager - RIS format (Windows only), Turabian

Issue

Vol 6 No 1 (2016)

Section

Articles

Creative Commons License This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License