Authors:

Komang Ayu Ledy Wira Sani, Luh Gede Meydianawathi

Abstract:

“Tujuan penelitian ini adalah untuk mengestimasi trend ekspor non migas di Provinsi Bali dalam 5 tahun kedepan, menganalisis pengaruh inflasi, investasi, dan krisis ekonomi global terhadap nilai ekspor non migas di Provinsi Bali dari tahun 1990-2017 dan untuk menentukan variabel mana yang berpengaruh dominan terhadap nilai ekspor non migas di Provinsi Bali. Teknik analisis yang digunakan yaitu teknik analisis trend dengan metode kuadrat terkecil dan analisis regresi linier berganda. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa dalam lima tahun kedepan, trend ekspor non migas Provinsi Bali mengalami trend yang positif atau terus mengalami peningkatan. Variabel inflasi, investasi, dan krisis ekonomi global berpengaruh secara simultan terhadap nilai ekspor non migas di Provinsi Bali tahun 1990-2017. Secara parsial investasi berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap nilai ekspor, sedangkan inflasi tidak berpengaruh terhadap nilai ekspor non migas Provinsi Bali tahun 1990-2017. Sementara pengaruh krisis ekonomi global menunjukkan dampak perubahan terhadap nilai ekspor non migas sebelum dan sesudah terjadinya krisis ekonomi. Investasi menjadi variabel dominan yang mempengaruhi nilai ekspor non migas di Provinsi Bali dari tahun 1990-2017. Kata kunci: inflasi, investasi, krisis ekonomi global, nilai ekspor non migas ABSTRACT The purpose of this study is to estimate the influence of inflation, investment, and the global economic crisis on the value of non-oil exports in Bali Province in five years ahead, to analyze of inflation, investment, and the global economic crisis on the value of non-oil exports in the province of Bali in 1990-2017 and determines which variables are dominant against the value of exports non-oil and gas in Bali Province. The analysis technique used is the trend analysis technique with the smaller quadratic method and multiple linear regression analysis. The results of the research show in the next five years, the trend of non-oil exports in Bali Province has increased the positive trend or continues to increase. The variable inflation, investment, and the global economic crisis simultaneously has affected the value of the non-migas exports itself in Bali in 1990-2017. Partially, investment is positive and significant to the value of exports, while inflation is not positive to the value of non-oil exports of Bali Province in 1990-2017. On the other hand, Global Economy Crisis has an impact towards the changes of the previous and the present of the non-oil export value. This investation has become the dominant variable that affecting the value of non-migas in Bali Province in 1990-2017. Keywords: inflation, investment, global economic crisis, non-oil export value”

Keywords

inflasi, investasi, krisis ekonomi global, nilai ekspor non migas ABSTRACT The purpose of this study is to estimate the influence of inflation, investment, and the global economic crisis on the value of non-oil exports in Bali Province in five years ahead, to analyze of inflation, investment, and the global economic crisis on the value of non-oil exports in the province of Bali in 1990-2017 and determines which variables are dominant against the value of exports non-oil and gas in Bali Province. The analysis technique used is the trend analysis technique with the smaller quadratic method and multiple linear regression analysis. The results of the research show in the next five years, the trend of non-oil exports in Bali Province has increased the positive trend or continues to increase. The variable inflation, investment, and the global economic crisis simultaneously has affected the value of the non-migas exports itself in Bali in 1990-2017. Partially, investment is positive and significant to the value of exports, while inflation is not positive to the value of non-oil exports of Bali Province in 1990-2017. On the other hand, Global Economy Crisis has an impact towards the changes of the previous and the present of the non-oil export value. This investation has become the dominant variable that affecting the value of non-migas in Bali Province in 1990-2017. Keywords: inflation, investment, global economic crisis, non-oil export value

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PDF:

https://jurnal.harianregional.com/eep/full-52622

Published

2021-07-28

How To Cite

LUH GEDE MEYDIANAWATHI, Komang Ayu Ledy Wira Sani,. ANALISIS EKSPOR NON MIGAS PROVINSI BALI TAHUN 1990-2017.E-Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Universitas Udayana, [S.l.], v. 10, n. 7, p. 2894 - 2924, july 2021. ISSN 2303-0178. Available at: https://jurnal.harianregional.com/eep/id-52622. Date accessed: 02 Jun. 2025.

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Issue

Vol 10 No 7 (2021): VOL 10 NO 7, JULI 2021 [2661 - 3103]

Section

Articles

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